News

Intel Q3 Revenue Up 21% but Q4 Guidance Misses, Stock Crashes Over 28% (October 30, 2026)

Intel Q3 2026 revenue was $16.5B, up 21% YoY, but Q4 guidance of $15-16B fell short of estimates; on October 30 its stock closed down more than 28%.

One-sentence summary

Intel's Q3 2026 revenue reached $16.5B, up 21% YoY, but its Q4 revenue guidance of $15-16B fell well short of Wall Street expectations; combined with an Israel plant incident, the stock closed down over 28% on October 30.

Event Overview ​

  • Time: Reported after US close on October 29, 2026; stock gyrated on October 30.
  • Company: Intel (INTC).
  • Event: Q3 revenue grew YoY, but Q4 guidance missed badly; shares fell as much as 29% intraday and closed down over 28%.

Key Information ​

ItemDetail
Q3 revenue (GAAP)$16.5B, up 21% YoY
Q3 net income$3.32B, down 18% YoY
Q3 diluted EPS$0.60
Q4 revenue guidance$15-16B (midpoint $15.5B)
Street Q4 expectation~$17B
Q4 non-GAAP EPS guidance$0.25 (Street ~$0.43)
Q4 non-GAAP gross margin guidance38.0%
October 30 close$65.76, down over 28%
Market cap~$349.2B, ~$150B wiped out in a day

Background and Impact ​

  • Soft guidance: The company said PC demand weakness would last until at least H1 2027.
  • Capacity incident: An operational incident at the Kiryat Gat fab in Israel hurt capacity expectations.
  • Sector contagion: Fear spread to chip peers; Nvidia's market cap fell below $5 trillion the same day.

Official Sources ​